The unemployment rate in Bulgaria is expected to jump to 7% in 2020, after having reached historic lows of 4.2% in 2019, the economic forecast of the European Commission shows. Job losses are set to be most pronounced in the services sector (retail trade, transport, hospitality industry) which will function at up to 40% of their full capacity. In 2021 a partial recovery in employment is expected and unemployment rate is expected to decrease to 5.8%.
Commissioner for Economy Paolo Gentiloni expects that Bulgaria’s budget deficit will be below 6% of the GDP. Bulgaria’s consumer price inflation is expected to fall from 2.5% in 2019 to 1.1% in 2020 and stay at that level in 2021. General government debt is expected to increase and reach 25.5% of the GDP in both 2020 and 2021.
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