Podcast in English
Text size
Bulgarian National Radio © 2025 All Rights Reserved

Mathematical models successfully predict development of pandemic

Prof. Mihail Konstantinov
Photo: BGNES

“We have developed and applied models which predict the development of the pandemic with great precision. We predicted, with 0.5% accuracy, the number of deaths in Europe and in Bulgaria,” said mathematician Prof. Mihail Konstantinov, head of the Information Services state-owned company.

192,564 have died in Europe. By 23 July, their number will reach 199,500, in Bulgaria their number will be below 275, Prof. Konstantinov said. In the words of the mathematician it is difficult to predict whether there will be a new peak, because in 2003, the first coronavirus, SARS, had one wave. In 2014, MERS also developed in just one wave. 



Последвайте ни и в Google News Showcase, за да научите най-важното от деня!
Listen to the daily news from Bulgaria presented in "Bulgaria Today" podcast, available in Spotify.

More from category

Ukrainian Rada authorises purchase of Bulgarian-owned Russian-built nuclear reactors

The Ukrainian Rada today approved the purchase of two reactors from Bulgaria for the expansion of the Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant, Bulgarian media reported. The reactors, which Bulgaria bought from Russia in 2015 for the unfinished Belene NPP, were..

published on 2/11/25 4:25 PM

Women make up almost half of scientists and engineers in Bulgaria, according to Eurostat

In 2023, there were 7.7 million female scientists and engineers in the EU, with Bulgaria among the top three countries, according to Eurostat data . The proportion of women scientists and engineers in 2023 varied widely across the EU, with the highest..

published on 2/11/25 4:12 PM

EPPO opens investigation into €4.5 million fraud of EU funds in Vratsa

The European Public Prosecutor's Office (EPPO) in Sofia has filed an indictment with the Sofia District Court against the manager and owner of a company suspected of fraud in a public procurement procedure to the tune of €4.5 million (BGN 8 838 308)...

published on 2/11/25 2:08 PM