Fitch Ratings has raised the outlook on Bulgaria's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from stable to positive. The current assessment stems from lower macroeconomic risks associated with the Covid-19 crisis, the continuing interest in joining the euro zone, as well as the support from EU funds.
In the coming years, Bulgaria is expected to be one of the main beneficiaries of EU financing, including 16.6 billion euros (27% of GDP in 2020) under the multi-annual financial framework (2021-2027) and 7.5 billion euros (12% of GDP for 2020) in the form of EU grants under the NGEU mechanism. According to Fitch Ratings, this would increase economic growth from projected 3% in 2021 to 4-5% in the period 2022-2025.
In the long run, however, Fitch also points out a number of unfavorable factors, including the demographic structure of the population.
Although bilateral trade reached nearly $4 billion last year, there are still untapped opportunities to further increase Bulgarian exports to China. This was made clear at a meeting between the Minister of Economy and Industry, Mr. Petko Nikolov, and..
Housing loans in Bulgaria increased by 24.8% year-on-year, reaching BGN 22.3 billion (EUR 11.4 billion) by the end of June 2024, according to the BGNES news agency. Consumer loans also rose by 14% year-on-year compared to June 2023, reaching BGN..
Bulgaria’s real GDP growth is expected to stand at 2.1% in 2024, indicates the macroeconomic forecast of the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) in June. Bulgaria’s real GDP growth is expected to stand at 2.1 per cent in 2024, driven by the positive..
Moody's expects Bulgaria to join the Eurozone no later than the beginning of 2026. According to the rating agency, the growth of the Bulgarian economy in..
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