"We will probably see growth of around 4.5% by the end of 2021, but 90% of this growth is due to credits and inflation, which remained underestimated. The percentage of real GDP is low as it grew by just 0.6% in the 2nd and the 3-rd trimester. We are facing a frozen economy." This is how macro-economist Prof. Dimitar Ivanov commented on the economic situation in the country speaking to the Bulgarian National Radio.
According to him, household savings would decline, inflation would melt away the growth of wages and pensions, and consumption would continue to fall. In 2022, inflation will be a far more important issue than the pace of economic growth, Ivanov said. According to him, the government's focus on key reforms is urgent in order to preserve people's purchasing power and stabilize the economy.
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The German economy has been shrinking and the government expects a decline of 0.2% of GDP. Some of the main reasons for this include unresolved structural problems related to lack of energy security, excessive bureaucracy and shortage..
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